Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸

IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that the fit is good if it is shown.

The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.

Croatia⮸

Population $4,105,267$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $29,850$ on 2020-10-22

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $406$ on 2020-10-22

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $7,380$ on 2020-10-22

Sweden⮸

Population $10,099,265$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $108,969$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{93,868.9}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 102.4)}}\) (asimptote \(93,868.9\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $5,930$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,793.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.3)}}\) (asimptote \(5,793.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $103,039$ on 2020-10-22

Norway⮸

Population $5,421,241$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $17,234$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23,548.7}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 180.1)}}\) (asimptote \(23,548.7\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $279$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{256.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 32.2)}}\) (asimptote \(256.6\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $5,092$ on 2020-10-22

Finland⮸

Population $5,540,720$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $14,255$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,974.4}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 77.7)}}\) (asimptote \(9,974.4\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $355$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.6}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.7)}}\) (asimptote \(333.6\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $4,100$ on 2020-10-22

Denmark⮸

Population $5,792,202$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $38,270$ on 2020-10-22

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $694$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{622.5}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 35.6)}}\) (asimptote \(622.5\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $6,210$ on 2020-10-22

Iceland⮸

Population $341,243$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $4,268$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,172.0}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 35.0)}}\) (asimptote \(2,172.0\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $11$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $1,159$ on 2020-10-22

Belgium⮸

Population $11,589,623$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $270,132$ on 2020-10-22

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $10,588$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,834.9}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 39.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,834.9\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $237,331$ on 2020-10-22

United Kingdom⮸

Population $67,886,011$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $813,451$ on 2020-10-22

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $44,437$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,314.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 46.1)}}\) (asimptote \(41,314.9\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $766,362$ on 2020-10-22

Italy⮸

Population $60,461,826$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $465,726$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{281,275.4}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 54.1)}}\) (asimptote \(281,275.4\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $36,968$ on 2020-10-22

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,120.3}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.3)}}\) (asimptote \(35,120.3\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $169,302$ on 2020-10-22