Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $29,850$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $406$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,380$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $108,969$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{93,868.9}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 102.4)}}\) (asimptote \(93,868.9\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,930$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,793.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.3)}}\) (asimptote \(5,793.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $103,039$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,234$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23,548.7}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 180.1)}}\) (asimptote \(23,548.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $279$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{256.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 32.2)}}\) (asimptote \(256.6\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,092$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $14,255$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,974.4}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 77.7)}}\) (asimptote \(9,974.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $355$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.6}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.7)}}\) (asimptote \(333.6\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,100$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $38,270$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $694$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{622.5}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 35.6)}}\) (asimptote \(622.5\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,210$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,268$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,172.0}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 35.0)}}\) (asimptote \(2,172.0\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $11$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,159$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $270,132$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,588$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,834.9}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 39.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,834.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $237,331$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $813,451$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $44,437$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,314.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 46.1)}}\) (asimptote \(41,314.9\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $766,362$ on 2020-10-22
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $465,726$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{281,275.4}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 54.1)}}\) (asimptote \(281,275.4\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,968$ on 2020-10-22
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,120.3}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.3)}}\) (asimptote \(35,120.3\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $169,302$ on 2020-10-22